August 10, 2010
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LIVING ON BORROWED TIME - DVD
A morally and spiritually bankrupt society …A worldwide economic meltdown…A planet racked with increasingly intense manmade and natural disasters…Are we the Final Generation?
Watch therefore, for you do not know what hour your Lord is coming. But know this that if the master of the house had known what hour the thief would come, he would have watched and not allowed his house to be broken into. Therefore you also be ready, for the Son of Man is coming at an hour you do not expect. Matthew 24:42-44
Reviews: The DVD should be seen by small groups and youth ministries far and wide. The clear quoting and referencing of bible verses is especially strong. The collage of dramatic imagery - both in photography and artwork, grabs the viewers' attention and weaves the conclusion that God is about to continue His plan in a major way. The video is so fresh - the oil explosion and spill in the Gulf of Mexico is shown as one example of how this old world is wearing out and is in flames
The video next defends the authorship and reliability of the bible before showing eight unmistakable developments in our world that point toward the soon return of the Lord Jesus Christ. The number one sign given to our generation is the return of the Jewish people to form the nation of Israel. Jesus Christ is now standing at the door waiting to take his beloved bride- His true believers. Like the admonition from the Book of Jude, verse 23, I pray that this DVD will be used by the Holy Spirit to pluck dying people out of the fire before the borrowed time runs out. - John Wicklund - Chair- Olive Tree Ministries Board of Directors - Maple Grove, MN
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Big Israeli military drill as Nasrallah charges plot against Lebanese leaders – www.debka.com
Hizballah leader Hassan Nasrallah accused Israel of plotting to murder all of Lebanon's political and military leaders in a speech he delivered Monday night, Aug. 9, thus going one better than his anticipated bid to pin the 2005 Hariri murder on the Jewish state. Although he produced no evidence, his Iranian backers were at his side. And so enough fuel was poured on the already incendiary Israel-Lebanese, Israel-Syrian borders to prompt a large-scale Israeli military exercise to start the following morning, Tuesday, Aug. 10.
Iranian foreign minister Manouchehr Mottaki is meanwhile on his way to Damascus to hold Bashar Assad back from his promise to Saudi King Abdullah to break away from Hizballah. The Iranian ambassador called on the Lebanese chief of staff Gen. Jean Qahwaji Monday and advised him to invoke the new Iranian-Lebanese military accord for replacing the US with Iran as the Lebanese army's main arms supplier.
In an attempt to hold the line in Beirut, Washington sent its top Syrian-Lebanese expert Fredric Hof to Beirut to warn Gen. Qahwaji against falling for the Iranian line or again embarking on cross-border aggression against Israel.
In an earlier item on Aug. 9, debkafile's sources outlined the pressures on Iranian-Syrian relations and the strains which have prompted all these comings and goings, placed four armies on a high alert and made the Hizballah leader desperate enough to threaten his country with civil war and provoke a showdown with Israel.
Israel is to move large tank, armored infantry and artillery up north as an extra warning to Tehran, Damascus and Beirut not to let their crises spill over to Israel's borders or generate a repeat of the Aug. 3 military clash in which Lt. Col. Dov Harari was killed by a Lebanese sniper.
Monday night, the Israeli military unusually warned citizens and motorists they would have to put up with heavy military traffic on the northern highways leading from the center of the country to the shores of the Sea of Galilee, Upper Galilee and the Golan - in particular Route 71 linking Afulah and Bet Shean, and Routes 90 and 92 which circle the lake and reach the Galilee Panhandle. They were advised to avoid the roads leading up to the Israeli-Syrian and Israeli-Lebanese borders.
Nasrallah started out with an account of schemes he claimed Israeli agents had hatched against Lebanon in the 1990s and moved on to accusing Israel of plotting to murder Lebanese president Michel Suleiman, Chief of staff Gen. Jen Qahwaji, leader of the Shite Amal movement Nabih Berri, who is Speaker of Parliament, Prime Minister Saad Hariri, and leader of the Christian Phalange movement, Samir Geagea.
And what motivates Israel to make a clean sweep of all Lebanon's pro-Western as well as pro-Iranian leaders? Nasrallah asked rhetorically and answered: "To implicate Syria and Hizballah in the crimes, exactly as in the case of the Hariri murder" - which he claimed was committed by Israeli intelligence.
Nasrallah's effort to drum up a case for a common Syrian-Lebanese war against Israel was entirely transparent and predicted. All the same, it added a new level to the current military strains.
Iran offers to support Lebanese army if U.S. withholds military aid – www.haaretz.com
U.S. lawmakers hold up $100 million in military aid to Lebanon in wake of deadly border skirmish between Israel's and Lebanon's army.
Iran has offered support to Lebanon's army, a week after a deadly cross-border clash between Lebanon and Israel which prompted U.S. lawmakers to block funding to the Lebanese military.
The offer from Iran, which supports Lebanon's militant Shi'ite group Hezbollah, could fuel Western concern that Tehran is increasing its influence near Israel's northern border.
Israel said it had complained to Washington and Paris about funding provided to the Lebanese army after Lebanese soldiers killed a senior Israeli officer in a rare border skirmish that also left two Lebanese soldiers and a Lebanese journalist dead.
Iran's ambassador to Lebanon met Lebanese army chief Jean Kahwaji on Monday and said Tehran was ready to "cooperate with the Lebanese army in any area that would help the military in performing its national role in defending Lebanon".
Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is expected to visit Beirut next month.
Two U.S. Democrat lawmakers said they were holding up $100 million that was approved for Lebanon's army but not yet spent. A senior House Republican, Eric Cantor, said future funding should be stopped too, pending an inquiry into the clash.
Cantor said the lines between Hezbollah, the Lebanese military and the government had become "blurred".
But U.S. State Department spokesman P.J. Crowley said U.S. President Barack Obama was not planning to re-evaluate its military cooperation with Lebanon.
"It allows the government of Lebanon to expand its sovereignty. We think that is in the interest of both of our countries and regional stability as a whole," he said on Monday.
The Lebanese army is seen as woefully underequipped compared to Hezbollah, which is believed to have been rearming since its 2006 war with Israel. The military lost 170 troops when battling an al Qaida-inspired Islamist group holed up in a Palestinian refugee camp in 2007.
The United States has provided more than $720 million in assistance to the Lebanese army since 2006.
Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak said it was a mistake to arm Lebanon's military with advanced weapons because they were being used by the army against Israel.
Crowley said he was not aware that any U.S. equipment was used during the incident.
The fact that Lebanon's national unity government includes politicians allied to the United States, France and Saudi Arabia as well ministers from Hezbollah, supported by Iran and Syria means, theoretically at least, the army could get support from both sides.
Beirut-based analyst Rami Khouri said it remained to be seen whether the military, which has sought to maintain neutrality from Lebanon's factional politics, could absorb support from both sides.
"My guess is that everybody will be careful that the army won't be politicized. If that is the case it could become a tool of political control ... and therefore sectarian battles and it could fall apart," he told Reuters.
Lebanese President Michel Suleiman announced on Saturday a plan to build up the armed forces "regardless of the position of some countries," in apparent reference to Israel's complaints.
A statement from Suleiman's office said he had received numerous phone calls "from Lebanon and Lebanon's friends ... who expressed the desire to contribute to arming the military."
Israel said a Lebanese army sniper opened fire last week on two Israeli officers as they watched a tree-pruning operation on the Israeli side of a security fence below the United Nations' "Blue Line".
The Lebanese army said it first fired warning shots, then Israelis fired at their soldiers. Israeli artillery and tank fire followed.
Hezbollah did not take part in last week's clash, although Nasrallah has said his powerful Shi'ite guerrillas would intervene if Israel attacked the army again.
Khouri said Lebanon's leaders would be careful to "safeguard the neutrality and the integrity of the army."
"But at the same time they need equipment," he said. "The Lebanese are willing to get arms from different sources ... as long as you make it clear to everybody that they're not buying their loyalty."
Iran digging graves for US troops if they attack – www.news.yahoo.com
TEHRAN, Iran – Iran has dug mass graves in which to bury U.S. troops in case of any American attack on the country, a former commander of the elite Revolutionary Guard said.
The digging of the graves appears to be a show of bravado after the chairman of the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff, Adm. Mike Mullen, said last week that the U.S. military has a contingency plan to attack Iran, although he thinks a military strike is probably a bad idea.
The U.S. and some of its allies accuse Iran of using its civilian nuclear program as a cover to build nuclear weapons. Iran has denied the charges, saying its nuclear program is geared merely toward generating electricity, not bomb.
Gen. Hossein Kan'ani Moghadam, who was the Guard's deputy commander during the 1980s, said graves have been dug in Iran's southwestern Khuzestan province, where Iran buried Iraqi soldiers killed during the ruinous 1980-88 war between the Islamic republic and Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein's regime.
"The mass graves that used to be for burying Saddam's soldiers have now been prepared again for U.S. soldiers, and this is the reason for digging this big number of graves," Moghadam told The Associated Press Television News late Monday. He did not say how many were prepared.
Footage obtained by APTN showed a large number of empty, freshly dug graves in a desert region of Khuzestan. The digging of the graves was first reported earlier this week by Iran's semiofficial news agency Fars.
Moghadam repeated warnings that Iran will retaliate against U.S. bases in the Gulf if there is an attack on Iran. The U.S. Navy's 5th Fleet headquarters is based just across the Gulf from Iran in Bahrain.
If U.S. forces attack, "Iran will have no choice but to strike the American bases in the region," he said. "The heavy costs of such a war will not be just on the Islamic Republic of Iran. America and other countries should accept that this would be the start of an extensive war in the region."
The war of words has intensified between Iran and the United States after the U.N. Security Council imposed a fourth round of tougher sanctions in June in response to Iran's refusal to halt uranium enrichment, a technology that can be used to produce nuclear fuel or material for an atomic bomb.
The U.S. and Israel have said military force could be used if diplomacy fails to stop what they suspect is an Iranian nuclear weapons program.
Iran to expunge 'dirty' dollar and euro reserves - Ali Akbar Dareini – www.news.yahoo.com
TEHRAN, Iran – Iran announced plans Monday to get rid of its dollar and euro reserves in response to the latest U.N. sanctions over its contested nuclear program.
The U.N. Security Council imposed a fourth round of sanctions on Iran in June because of its refusal to halt uranium enrichment. Tougher unilateral U.S. and European Union sanctions followed in July.
"To fight sanctions, we will remove the dollar and euro from our foreign exchange basket and will replace them with (the Iranian) rial and the currency of any country cooperating with us," Vice President Mohammad Reza Rahimi told Iran's semiofficial Fars news agency. "We consider these currencies (dollar and euro) dirty and won't sell oil in dollar and euro," he added.
The United States and its allies are concerned Iran's continued uranium enrichment could ultimately produce a nuclear weapon. Iran denies this, saying it only seeks nuclear energy for peaceful purposes.
Rahimi said sanctions won't deter Iran from continuing its nuclear program, and instead they are only helping it achieve technological self-sufficiency in various industries.
Rahimi also attacked South Korea, saying Seoul needs to be punished for joining the global coalition of countries sanctioning Iran.
"The Koreans also need to be slapped," he was quoted by Fars as saying.
Ahmadinejad's government has opened Iran's doors to imports in recent years to keep consumer prices low at the expense protecting of domestic industry, but Rahimi said the government is now planning to increase tariffs on imports.
"We will increase tariffs by 200 percent. We will hike it so much so that no one will be able to buy foreign goods. We should not buy the products of our enemies," he said. "Students can force their parents not to buy foreign goods."
Rahimi also called Australians "a bunch of cattlemen." Australia joined the 27-member European Union in imposing additional sanctions against Iran.
While Iranian economists acknowledge that sanctions are biting and have harmed Iran, President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad insisted this week that sanctions will instead serve to eradicate the domination of the dollar in global markets.
US envoy falls short on latest Mideast mission - Mohammed Daraghmeh – www.news.yahoo.com
RAMALLAH, West Bank – The White House's Mideast envoy failed Tuesday to secure Palestinian agreement to go to direct talks with Israel, despite mounting pressure from the U.S. administration to begin negotiations in early September.
The U.S. has been calling for a speedy resumption of face-to-face negotiations, which broke down in December 2008. On Monday, U.S. officials said that American envoy George Mitchell, who has been mediating indirect negotiations for three months, was pressing for direct talks to start by Sept. 1.
But after a three-hour meeting with Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas, Mitchell left empty-handed and said that he would continue his efforts and return to the region soon, referring to "difficulties and obstacles" the sides are facing.
Abbas wants agreement first on a framework, agenda and timeline for negotiations, including Israel's acceptance of a Palestinian state that would include the West Bank, east Jerusalem and Gaza Strip, with minor adjustments. The Palestinians are also demanding a freeze on all Israeli settlement construction in areas they claim for their future state.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu says direct talks should begin immediately without any conditions, but has refused to give any guarantees on what he is prepared to offer.
After nearly two decades of intermittent, inconclusive talks, the Palestinians are wary of entering open-ended negotiations.
An Israeli slowdown on settlement construction in the West Bank ends Sept. 26 after 10 months, and Netanyahu has signaled that he will not extend the measure. Netanyahu also opposes freezing construction of Jewish homes in east Jerusalem, the sector the Palestinians hope will be their capital, though an unofficial Israeli slowdown has been in place for several months.
Mitchell is to meet with Netanyahu and Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak on Wednesday.
Direct talks between Abbas and Netanyahu's predecessor, Ehud Olmert, broke off in 2008 on the eve of Israel's three-week military offensive against Hamas-ruled Gaza. Netanyahu has retreated from some of Olmert's positions, insisting for example that Jerusalem will not be partitioned.
Since May, Mitchell has been shuttling between Abbas and Netanyahu, but has made little headway.
Palestinian officials say Abbas presented detailed positions on key issues, but that Israel has not responded in kind. Netanyahu has said he would only engage once direct talks begin.
In recent weeks, the Obama administration has been pushing hard to move to direct talks. Mitchell has told Abbas that President Barack Obama could only help the Palestinians get their state once negotiations begin.
Abbas told reporters at his headquarters on Monday that the U.S. push is unprecedented in its intensity. "We have never been under as much pressure as in these days," Abbas said.
Also Tuesday, the Israeli military said it will ease some restrictions on Palestinian movement between the West Bank and Israel during the monthlong Muslim fasting month of Ramadan, which is to begin Wednesday or Thursday. Devout Muslims refrain from eating, drinking and smoking from dawn to dusk during Ramadan, a time of heightened religious fervor.
The Israeli military said Palestinian men over 50 and women over 45 would be able to pray at Jerusalem's holiest Muslim shrine, the Al-Aqsa Mosque, without obtaining special entry permits.
Normally, all West Bank Palestinians must apply for permits to enter Israel, including Israeli-annexed east Jerusalem.
The military also said it would extend opening hours of some crossings between the West Bank and Israel.
It added that Israeli soldiers have been told to refrain from eating, drinking and smoking in public during Ramadan, especially at crossings.
Japanese tanker hit by suicide speedboat – www.worldtribune.com
ABU DHABI — The United Arab Emirates has determined that a suicide speedboat rammed into a Japanese oil tanker.
Japan's Mitsui OSK Lines said the M. Star oil tanker exploded on July 29 near the Strait of Hormuz, dominated by Iran. The UAE Coast Guard has concluded that an explosion that damaged the Japanese tanker was the result of a speedboat filled with explosives. Officials said the speedboat rammed into the M. Star tanker on July 29 in the Strait of Hormuz in the territorial waters of Oman.
"After the tanker had anchored 12 nautical miles off the Port of Fujairah, UAE explosives experts who collected and examined samples found a dent on the starboard side above the water line and remains of home-made explosives on the hull," a UAE Coast Guard official said. "Probably the tanker had encountered a terrorist attack from a boat loaded with explosives."
Officials said the investigation into the M.Star explosion included the U.S. Navy's Fifth Fleet. They said M.Star was repaired in the UAE and left Fujairah on Aug. 6.
M.Star did not report any casualties or oil spilled from the explosion, which took place near the coast of Iran. In a statement, an Al Qaida group claimed responsibility, but the statement was dismissed by Japan and Gulf Cooperation Council sources.
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Coming to grips with shariah - By Frank J. Gaffney, Jr.
http://www.JewishWorldReview.com | Suddenly, it seems, everyone is talking about Shariah. In particular, growing controversies over proposed mosques at Ground Zero and other sites are becoming powerful "teaching moments" - raising awareness about the repressive theo-political-military-legal doctrine that animates the builders and that their fellow adherents seek to impose on the entire world.
This is a most welcome development in light of the grave and growing threat posed by this agenda and the concerted effort being made - here and elsewhere, through violent jihad and the stealthy kind - to realize that goal.
Unfortunately, too many Americans still remain unaware of the magnitude of the danger we face from Shariah. Worse yet, their ability to comprehend this threat, let alone respond appropriately to it, is being seriously disserved by people who know better - or should. Specifically, the public is being seriously misled by 1) some journalists and politicians who are obscuring the true nature of Shariah and 2) Shariah practitioners who engage in deliberate deception to facilitate the penetration of their doctrine into Western societies.
As an example of the former, consider the article that led the New York Times front page on Sunday entitled "Battles around Nation over Proposed Mosques." It accurately reported that Americans from the Ground Zero neighborhood in Lower Manhattan to San Bernardino are expressing growing concern about Muslim mosques that "seek to replace the U.S. Constitution with Islamic Shariah law."
Yet, the Times proceeded to dismiss the idea that such mosques are a problem. It cited "interfaith groups led by Protestant ministers, Catholic priests, rabbis and clergy members from other faiths [who] have defended the mosques." One such individual was quoted as saying that the opponents "have fear because they don't know" those involved in such mosques.
New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg went even further last week declaring that those critical of the construction of a permanent symbol of Shariah adherents' victorious destruction of the World Trade Center "ought to be ashamed of themselves" for being intolerant. Moreover, he categorically rejected the idea that it was reasonable, let alone necessary, to determine the source of funds for the $100-plus million mega-mosque near Ground Zero.
In other words, the Mayor seemingly is indifferent to whether the funding for the mosque sponsored by the Cordoba Initiative (named for the capital city of the Moorish conquerors of Spain and the site where they triumphally transformed a Catholic church into a massive mosque) might be the Saudis, with their version of Shariah known as Wahhabism.
This cavalier attitude is absolutely stupefying insofar as two years ago this month, the New York Police Department issued a report warning that Wahhabi mosques in America were incubators for "homegrown" Islamic radicals.
The Mayor has a duty to know a lot more than he evidently does about Shariah. He certainly has an obligation to figure out whether - as is true of, by some estimates, 80% of the mosques in America - the Ground Zero Mosque is going to fit the profile of a Wahhabi-associated facility.
The challenge of assuring public awareness of the Shariah threat would be hard enough if the only impediment were ill-informed politicians and journalists. Matters are made much worse by the skill with which Shariah's adherents dissemble, or simply lie.
For example, the New York Times article cited Camie Ayash, a spokeswoman for the Islamic Center of Murfreesboro, Tennessee - the sponsors of a proposed 52,000 square foot mosque that has precipitated an intense local backlash. It reported that Ms. Ayash "lamented that people were listening to 'total disinformation' on Islam." She then engaged in a classic example of real disinformation - or what Shariah calls taqqiya - claiming, "There's no conflict with the U.S. Constitution in Shariah law."
Now, even the most superficial review of Shariah shows that statement to be preposterous and misleading. In fact, among other Constitution-affronting features, Islamic law prohibits democratic law-making. It requires the replacement of constitutions and governments like ours with a global theocracy governed by Islamic law. It brutalizes women and otherwise treats them as second-class citizens and authorizes the murder of homosexuals and apostates.
Shariah is, in short, wholly incompatible with our legal system, freedoms and way of life.
Then, there was this gem from Ihsan Bagby, an associate professor in Islamic Studies at the University of Kentucky. The Times quoted him as saying that while "radicalization of alienated Muslim youths is a real threat, the youth we worry about are not the youth that come to the mosque[s]."
Look no further than the NYPD report for a reality check. It reported that: "This [Shariah] ideology is proliferating in Western democracies at a logarithmic rate. The Internet, certain Salafi-based non-governmental organizations, extremist sermons/study groups, Salafi literature, jihadi videotapes, extremist-sponsored trips to radical madrassas and militant training camps abroad have served as "extremist incubators" for young, susceptible Muslims - especially ones living in diaspora communities in the West." (Emphasis added.)
Americans across this country are struggling to understand the true nature of the threat we face from Shariah. They are entitled to straight talk about the extent to which it is being insinuated, promoted and legitimated not only in mosques but by financial institutions, banks, academic institutions and government agencies. Those who fail to provide such unvarnished truths are part of the problem, and should be treated accordingly.
Drought, Fire and Grain in Russia – Lauren Goodrich - www.stratfor.com
Three interlocking crises are striking Russia simultaneously: the highest recorded temperatures Russia has seen in 130 years of recordkeeping; the most widespread drought in more than three decades; and massive wildfires that have stretched across seven regions, including Moscow.
The crises threaten the wheat harvest in Russia, which is one of the world’s largest wheat exporters. Russia is no stranger to having drought affect its wheat crop, a commodity of critical importance to Moscow’s domestic tranquility and foreign policy. Despite the severity of the heat, drought, and wildfires, Moscow’s wheat output will cover Russia’s domestic needs. Russia will also use the situation to merge its neighbors into a grain cartel.
A History of Drought and Wildfire
Flooding peat bogs appears to be bringing the fires under control. Smoke from the fires has kept Moscow nearly shut down for a week. The larger concern is the effect of the fires — and the continued heat and drought, which has created a state of emergency across 27 regions — on Russia’s ordinarily massive grain harvest and exports.
Russia is one of the largest grain producers and exporters in the world, normally producing around 100 million tons of wheat a year, or 10 percent of total global output. It exports 20 percent of this total to markets in Europe, the Middle East and North Africa.
Cyclical droughts (and wildfires) mean Russian grain production levels fluctuate between 75 and 100 million tons from year to year. The extent of the drought and wildfires this year has prompted Russian officials to revise the country’s 2010 estimated grain production to 65 million tons, though Russia holds 24 million tons of wheat in storage — meaning it has enough to comfortably cover domestic demand (which is 75 million tons) even if the drought gets worse.
The larger challenge Moscow has faced in years of drought and wildfire has been transporting grain across Russia’s immense territory. Russia’s grain belt lies in the southern European part of the country from the Black Sea across the Northern Caucasus to Western Kazakhstan, capped on the north by the Moscow region. This is Russia’s most fertile region, which is supported by the Volga River.
Though drought and wildfires have struck Russia over the past three years, they have not affected its main grain-producing region. Instead, they struck regions in the Ural area that provide grain for Siberia. Those fires tested Russia’s transit infrastructure, one of its fundamental challenges. Russia has no real transportation network uniting its European heartland and its Far East save one railroad, the Trans-Siberian. While its grain belt does have some of the best transportation infrastructure in the country, it is designed for sending grain to the Black Sea or Europe — not to Siberia. The Kremlin began planning for disruptions of grain shipments to Siberia during the droughts and fires of 2007-2009. During that period, Moscow established massive grain storage units in the Urals and in producing regions of Kazakhstan along the Russian border.
This year’s drought and fires do not primarily affect Russia’s transportation network, but rather the grain-producing regions in the European part of Russia that make up the bulk of Russia’s grain exports. These regions lie on the westward distribution network, with the port of Novorossiysk on the Black Sea handling more than 50 percent of Russian exports.
Russia has focused largely on being a major grain exporter, raking in more than $4 billion a year for the past three years off the trade. This year, the Kremlin announced Aug. 5 that it would temporarily ban grain exports from Aug. 15 to Dec 31. Two reasons prompted the move. The first is the desire to prevent domestic grain prices from skyrocketing due to feared shortages. Russia’s grain market is remarkably volatile. Grain prices inside Russia already have risen nearly 10 percent. (Globally, wheat futures on the Chicago Board of Trade have risen nearly 20 percent in the past month, the largest jump since the early 1970s.)
The second reason is that the Kremlin wants to ensure that its supplies and production will hold up should the winter wheat harvest decline as well. Winter wheat, planted beginning at the end of August, typically fully replenishes Russian grain supplies. Further unseasonable heat, drought or fires could damage the winter wheat harvest, meaning the Kremlin will want to curtail exports to ensure its storage silos remain full.
Russia’s conservatism when it comes to ensuring supplies and price stability arises from the reality that adequate grain supplies long have been equated with social stability in Russia. Unlike other commodities, food shortages trigger social and political instability with shocking rapidity in all countries. As do some other countries, Russia relies on grain more than any other foodstuff; other food categories like meat, dairy and vegetables are too perishable for most of Russia to rely on.
Russia’s concentration on food volatility has a long history. Lenin called grain Russia’s “currency of currencies,” and seizing grain stockpiles was one of the Red Army’s first moves during the Russian Revolution. In this tradition, the Kremlin will husband its grain before exporting it for monetary gain. And this falls in line with Russia’s overall economic strategy of using its resources as a tool in domestic and foreign policy.
Exports and Foreign Policy
Russia is a massive producer and exporter of myriad commodities besides grain. It is the largest natural gas producer in the world and one of the largest oil and timber producers. The Russian government and domestic economy are based on the production and export of all these commodities, making Kremlin control — either direct or indirect — of all of these sectors essential to national security.
Domestically, Russians enjoy access to the necessities of life. Kremlin ownership over the majority of the country’s economy and resources gives the government leverage in controlling the country on every level — socially, politically, economically and financially. Thus, a grain crisis is more than just about feeding the people; it strikes at part of Russia’s overall domestic economic security.
Russia’s use of its resources as a tool is also a major part of Kremlin foreign policy. Its massive natural resource wealth and subsequent relative self-sufficiency allows it to project power effectively into the countries around it. Energy has been the main tool in this tactic. Moscow very publicly has used energy supplies as a political weapon, either by raising prices or by cutting supplies. It is also willing to use non-energy trade policy to effect foreign policy ends, and grain exports fall very easily into Moscow’s box of economic tools.
Russia is using the current grain crisis as a foreign policy tool even beyond its own exports, prices and supplies. It has asked both Kazakhstan and Belarus to also temporarily suspend their grain exports. Belarus is a minor grain exporter, with nearly all of its exports going to Russia. But Kazakhstan is one of the top five wheat exporters in the world, traditionally producing 21 million tons of wheat and exporting more than 50 percent of that. The same drought that has struck Russia also has hit Kazakhstan; production there is expected to be slashed by a third, or 7 million tons.
Kazakhstan traditionally exports to southern Siberia, Turkey, Iran and its fellow Central Asian states, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan. For the first time, Kazakhstan had planned to send grain exports to Asia. It had contracted to send approximately 3 million tons of grain east, with 2 million of those supplies heading to South Korea and the remainder to be split between China and Japan. The drought has forced Kazakhstan to reassess whether it can fulfill those contracts along with contracts for its immediate region.
Russia’s request that Belarus and Kazakhstan cease grain shipments does not seem primarily connected to Russia’s concern over supplies, but instead looks to be more political. The three countries formed a customs union in January, something that has caused much political and economic turmoil. Kazakhstan sought to lock in its president’s desire to remain beholden to Russia even after he steps down, while Belarus reluctantly joined as Russia already controlled more than half of the Belarusian economy.
For Moscow, however, the union was a key piece of its geopolitical resurgence. The Russian-Kazakh-Belarusian Customs Union was not set up like a Western free trade zone, where the goal is to encourage two-way trade by reducing trade barriers, but as a Russian plan to expand Moscow’s economic hold over Belarus and Kazakhstan. Thus far, the Customs Union has undermined Belarus and Kazakhstan’s industrial capacity, welding the two states further into the Russian economy.
Since the customs union has been in effect, Russia has quickly turned the club into a political tool, demanding that its fellow members sign onto politically motivated economic targeting of other states. In late July, Russia asked both Kazakhstan and Belarus to join a ban on wine and mineral water from Moldova and Georgia after continued spats with each of the pro-Western countries. Russia has added another level of demands in light of the grain shortages. As of this writing, neither Astana nor Minsk has accepted or declined the demands from Moscow, with grain exporting season just a month away.
Given current Russian production and storage supplies, Russia doesn’t actually need Belarus or Kazakhstan to curb their exports. Instead, it is seeking to use the drought and fires to create a regional grain cartel with its new customs union partners.
And this leads to the question of the other former Soviet grain heavyweight, Ukraine. Ukraine, which does not belong to the customs union, is the world’s third-largest wheat exporter. In 2009, Ukraine exported 21 million tons of its 46 million-ton production. Also hit by the drought, Ukraine revised its projected production and exports for 2010 down 20 percent, with exports down to 16 million tons. Some fear Ukraine will have to slash its export forecasts even further. Moscow will most likely want to control what its large grain-exporting neighbor does, should it be concerned with supplies or prices. Despite Russia’s recent actions with regard to Belarus and Kazakhstan, however, Ukraine has not publicly announced any bans on grain exports.
If Russia is going to exert its political power over the region via grain, it must have Ukraine on board. If Russia can control all of these states’ wheat exports, then Moscow will control 15 percent of global production and 16 percent of global exports. Kiev has recently turned its political orientation to lock step with Moscow, as seen in matters of politics, military and regional spats. But this most recent crisis hits at a major national economic piece for Ukraine. Whether Kiev bends its own national will to continue its further entwinement with Moscow remains to be seen.
Hiding in Plain Sight: The One-World System - by Heidi Swander - www.olivetreeviews.org
"On April 2, 2009, the work of July 4, 1776 was nullified at the meeting of the G-20 in London." So begins an article written by author and commentator Dick Morris on April 7, 2009, titled, "European Socialism to Run Our Financial System." According to Morris, a communiqué from the meeting "essentially announces a global economic union with uniform regulations and by-laws for all nations, including the United States." Please note: This took place last year.
This new financial state-of-being was confirmed in a statement made by Jean-Claude Trichet, president of the European Central Bank, in a speech he made to the Council on Foreign Relations earlier this year. He said, "For the good and appropriate functioning of global finance it is extremely important that we, in this new ownership of global governance, have -- particularly on both sides of the Atlantic -- the implementation of the same rules in the same fashion."
Do not miss this. Do not tune me out. This is vital information. The global, one-world economy is being discussed by a top-level world banker as a done deal. And notice that this statement is made in the context of global governance. Sometimes when we hear words in the news like "economic," "G-20," "Council on Foreign Relations," we tune it out thinking, "That's way over my head," or "This isn't relevant to my life." We couldn't be more wrong.
The Apostle John wrote of a one-world economy in his letter to the seven churches, Revelation. The one-world economy is one facet of the antichrist's short-lived world dictatorship. According to President Jean-Claude Trichet, this particular facet is in place. Were you aware of this?
During his speech, President Trichet said the central bankers are presently in "an intense phase of discussion" about how to implement what the G-20 already resolved last year. I'm sure they are! Can you imagine a group of men -- elitists though they may be -- trying to determine the direction in which to take the whole world economically? A daunting task.
One necessary subject of this discussion must be currency. Does the world use one currency? A basket of currencies? No currency; only credit?
Morrison Bonpasse, president of the Single Global Currency Association (SGCA), says, "It is now time to seriously pursue the goal of a Single Global Currency as managed by a Global Central Bank within a Global Monetary Union."
Carl Teichrib, in his masterful article, "One World, One Money: The Quest for a Single Global Currency," (an essential read) asks, "What would a Global Central Bank look like?" And then he responds, "The closest comparison we can make today is The Bank for International Settlements, an impermeable institution based in Basil, Switzerland."
When Brannon Howse filled in on radio for Jan July 10, he spent an hour explaining this financial behemoth in Basil, Switzerland called The Bank of International Settlements (BIS). The BIS is the central banker's bank. It loans to other central banks around the world. (Each country has its own central bank. An example is the European Central Bank. America's "central bank" is the fallacious Federal Reserve.)
Brannon went on to explain that according to historian Carroll Quigley, in his book Tragedy and Hope, the BIS was actually the apex of a proposed structure that would "create a world system of financial control in private hands able to dominate the political system of each country and the economy of the world as a whole." (I can't recommend this hour with Brannon Howse highly enough. Get a paper and pen -- better, sit at your computer. Take notes.)
Check it out: "Able to dominate the political system of each country . . ." What would you call that kind of power? I'd call it a one-world government. Interestingly, Teichrib quotes from a 2003 lecture by Columbia University Professor of Economics Robert Mundell titled, "The International Monetary System and the Case for a World Currency," in which Mundell states, "A global single currency could not be achieved without a global government."
And so the two are intertwined. A one-world government requires a global single currency. A global single currency (and the correlating one-world economy) cannot be achieved without a one-world government. And, according to Dick Morris and President Jean-Claude Trichet, we have a one-world economy. (The icing on the cake is that the one-world religion is moving full-steam ahead. Jan and Carl Teichrib discussed this on her show on July 31st, hour 1.
In his indispensable book, Grave Influence (if you haven't yet read it, you must!), Brannon quotes further from Dick Morris' 2009 article: "The Europeans have been trying to get their hands on our financial system for decades. It is essential to them that they rein in free enterprise so that their socialist heaven will not be polluted by vices such as the profit motive."
And then Brannon, himself, continues, "The developments in Europe represent what I believe is the revived Roman Empire predicted in Daniel 2:41-43 . . . We are now watching the fulfillment of Scripture as Europe increases and America decreases."
So, you tell me: Is this relevant to your life? You bet it is! I realize that it's not exactly as you hear it in the news every day. You may hear many of these terms, but it's all presented in such a way that one yawns in boredom. However, as Brannon mentioned on Jan's program, this is not a conspiracy. It's in process right out in the open for anyone to see and know who will simply read and listen with discernment and a Bible in one hand. The entire one-world system is being constructed right under our noses. We must sit up and pay attention!
What does this mean for us, practically speaking? I think Jesus said it best: "Now when these things begin to happen, look up and lift up your heads, because your redemption draws near" (Luke 21:28). Amen!
An Example of Standing In Times Such As These – Bill Wilson – www.dailyjot.com
Over and over again, The Daily Jot is exhorting the Church to take a stand and do what Christ would have it do. And over and over again, I keep getting emails from people who are just plain exasperated with the system. They feel there is nothing they can do. They believe that things have just gotten to far out of control to bring them back. Nevertheless, the encouragement is that the LORD knows all this, but we are to be faithful to Him and what He has commanded us to do--the entire embodiment of the Bible--our conduct, our evangelizing, our light and salt, our love for one another. If we hold to these standards, then others will see Christ and want Him.
There is a story published in the Columbus (Ohio) Dispatch about a battle going on in Coshocton County between a church and a strip club. This serves as a powerful example of how a pastor and his flock are actually taking a stand and making a difference in their community. As the story goes, Pastor Bill Dunfee of New Beginnings Ministries says, "The word of Jesus Christ says you cannot share territory with the devil." Every weekend for the last four years Pastor Dunfee and members of his congregation have stood outside of "The Foxhole" owned by Tom George. The Foxhole is a strip club. The church members have held signs, videotaped customers license plates to post online, and have evangelized patrons.
Now George and his "Foxhole" girls have moved out to the church with a protest of their own. They are carrying signs that quote scripture out of context, and are essentially holding a cook out in front of the church. Both groups largely ignored each other, except for one member of the congregation who stopped and prayed with one of the women who was protesting. The dancer said that she was grateful for the prayers. Foxhole owner George says he is in it for the long haul: "When these morons go away, we'll go away." But Pastor Dunfee is trying to make a change in his community and in the girls who are living this errant lifestyle. He says he consistently offers the women help and redemption.
As a church member, I am sure this is an uncomfortable situation. It takes a lot of bravery and courage to do what Pastor Dunfee has done. He has received a lot of criticism. I do not know him, but when we talk about having a zero tolerance for the things in our community that are against God, this is an example of what one can do. It must be done in God's love, be done righteously, but also with a firm hand and a resolve. As the Apostle Paul said in Ephesians 6:19, "And for me, that utterance may be given unto me, that I may open my mouth boldly, to make known the mystery of the gospel." You may not agree with Pastor Dunfee's tactics, but he is standing in his community against a very dark principality.
Have a Blessed and Powerful Day!
Bill Wilson
Word of Life Ministry
Without Excuse - Greg Laurie – www.harvest.org
Obviously, the law applies to those to whom it was given, for its purpose is to keep people from having excuses, and to show that the entire world is guilty before God.
— Romans 3:19
The Bible tells the story of a man who came to Jesus and said, "Good Teacher, what must I do to inherit eternal life?" (Mark 10:17). Jesus said, "You know the commandments: 'You must not murder. You must not commit adultery. You must not steal. You must not testify falsely. You must not cheat anyone. Honor your father and mother' " (verse 19).
"I've obeyed all these commandments since I was young," the man replied. The Bible tells us that Jesus looked at this man and "felt genuine love for him" (verse 21). I wonder if Jesus laughed a little to himself. This man was arrogant. Identified as the rich young ruler, he was in a position of authority, but he was young. He had climbed the ladder quickly and was probably feeling very good about himself.
Jesus quoted the law not to justify this man, but to show him the truth. If he had been honest with Jesus, he would have said, "Oh, Lord, I have tried to keep these commandments, but I fall short, and that is why I am talking to You." But he didn't.
He failed to recognize that the commandments were not given to make us righteous; they were given to show us that we are not righteous. Romans 3:19 says, "Obviously, the law applies to those to whom it was given, for its purpose is to keep people from having excuses, and to show that the entire world is guilty before God."
The law is like a moral mirror. It shuts our mouths and opens our eyes. It condemns but does not convert. It challenges but does not change. It points the finger but can't give mercy. And it drives us to Jesus, who has the answer we are looking for.
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He IS Able - Jack Kinsella - Omega Letter Editor – www.omegaletter.com
One of the most popular misconceptions about Christianity is that, in order to be a Christian, one must be 'good'. From the perspective of the Bible, being 'good' is something of a dichotomy.
On one hand, the Bible tells us to model our lives after the epitome of 'good' by emulating our Lord Jesus. But on the other, the same Bible tells us that actually reaching our goal of being 'good' is not possible.
Were it possible to be 'good' then we wouldn't need a Savior. Think about it.
God gave mankind ten simple rules for living. None of them seem particularly difficult; love God, honor your parents, don't steal or murder, don't bear false witness, be content with such as you have, etc.
But the Bible says that not one human being (Jesus excepted) ever managed to keep all ten. "For all have sinned, and come short of the glory of God," Paul wrote in Romans 3:23.
Having examined the conundrum of mankind and the sin nature, Paul offers this opinion: "Therefore we conclude that a man is justified by faith without the deeds of the law." (Romans 3:28)
None of us has any difficulty remembering when we were unregenerate sinners. Committing sin was not a problem -- it was easy as falling off a log. Being a sinner wasn't that big a deal either, (as long as you weren't as big a sinner as some other folks).
Then we got saved. Until it was washed away, we never realized how heavy and filthy and debilitating our sin was. Now, we know.
And as saved, Blood-bought, born-again members of the Redeemed Family of God, living in the world, but not OF it, we go through life keeping all Ten Commandments and seldom, if ever, slip back into our sin nature.
Where before we would have cursed at the driver who cut us off in traffic, now we bless him and pray for his soul.
We never lie, never curse, tithe faithfully, never have a 'bad' thought, never want to 'get even' with somebody who has wronged us, we pray without ceasing, give all the credit for our successes to God, and never, ever, get angry.
Our every waking moment is spent glorifying God for His mercy and we never speak to anyone without sharing the Gospel with them.
God's love is reflected by us at every waking moment, and we are just as spiritual when we are alone as we are when we are in church.
That describes you, doesn't it? You are truly blessed! (I wish that it described me.)
But it doesn't describe me. Unlike many Christians I've met over the years, I still struggle with my sin nature. It didn't vanish when I was saved.
I haven't led a perfectly sinless life since my salvation. I've fallen, but thanks to the indwelling presence of the Holy Spirit, I can get up!
One could sum up my personal Christian walk thusly: "For that which I do I allow not: for what I would, that do I not; but what I hate, that do I."
I know right from wrong, and I want to choose right, and I know that I hate sin, but I admit that sometimes do what I hate.
What does that mean?
According to Scripture, it means that, "it is no more I that do it, but sin that dwelleth in me. For I know that in me (that is, in my flesh,) dwelleth no good thing: for to will is present with me; but how to perform that which is good I find not." (Romans 7:17-18)
It is our obligation as Christians to spread the Gospel in all the world and lead as many of the lost to Christ as God gives us the opportunity. But lots of times, we don't feel 'good' enough to carry the message.
I mean, how does one rail against somebody else's sin while one's own sin is ever before them?
Has our hypocrisy no limits?
In many ways, the world has a better grasp of the situation than we do. Here's Joe Christian explaining about sin and death and hell, but the lost guy KNOWS Joe Christian still sins.
Think back to before you were saved. Did you think Christians were all sinless? Or did you think they were all hypocrites?
Admit it. Before you were saved, you used to look for imperfections among Christians. It made you feel better about yourself. Think about the person who finally DID lead you to the Lord. He was probably the one who admitted that Christians aren't perfect.
As Christians, we tend to preach one kind of Christianity and live another. We can't live the kind that we preach ourselves, and, for the most part, wouldn't want to.
The average lost person thinks of salvation in terms of what he has to give up instead of what he has to gain.
To the world, a Christian can't drink, can't smoke, can't watch TV, can't listen to rock music, goes to church every day the doors are open, has to love everybody (especially those he can't stand) and is generally about as phony as Homer Simpson's neighbor Ned Flanders.
Why therefore, would anybody want to be a Christian? Christians not only make it sound like a miserable existence, it is so miserable that even Christians can't meet the rigors that kind of existence demands.
"Do as I say, not as I do" doesn't even work when you are raising kids.
When we are saved, we are saved from the consequences of our sin, we are not saved from our sin nature.
We'd like to think we are, but in order to believe that, we'd have to also have a pathological capacity for self-deception.
Christianity is the essence of freedom, but we tend to present it to the lost as a form of bondage. You can't do this, you can't do that, you have to give this up . . . where is the Holy Spirit in all of this?
It is the Holy Spirit that convicts us of sin, and He doesn't do it all at once. He created us, and therefore He knows our limitations.
Salvation frees us from the consequences of sin, but only death frees us from the propensity for it.
"O wretched man that I am! who shall deliver me from the body of this death? I thank God through Jesus Christ our Lord. So then with the mind I myself serve the law of God; but with the flesh the law of sin." (Romans 7:24-25)
The fact is that salvation was designed for sinners. The Bible makes it clear that all men have sinned, and that sin is part of our earthly existence. We are to avoid sin, but when we fall, we are to turn to Jesus and allow Him to pick us back up.
That is the essence of the Gospel. That Jesus loves us so much that, while we were yet enemies of God, He died for us.
Jesus doesn't expect us to clean ourselves up first. He says, "Come as you are. I am able."
"Who shall also confirm you unto the end, that ye may be blameless in the day of our Lord Jesus Christ. God is faithful, by whom ye were called unto the fellowship of His Son Jesus Christ our Lord." (1st Corinthians 1:9:10)
"Now unto Him that is able to keep you from falling, and to present you faultless before the presence of His glory with exceeding joy" (Jude 1:24)
Don't let the enemy steal your victory by blinding you with your sin nature. You can still do a mighty work for God. Not because you are able.
But because He is.
"For the which cause I also suffer these things: nevertheless I am not ashamed: for I know Whom I have believed, and am persuaded that He is able to keep that which I have committed unto Him against that day." (2nd Timothy 1:12)
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Maranatha!
(Lord Come Quickly)
"On Christ the Solid Rock I Stand, All other ground is sinking sand."
"Let Us make the short time we have left count for all eternity!"
YBIC-Randy
